The role of environmental and epidemiological surveys of ambient pollution in the evaluation of a risk for "acute" mortality
Katsnel'son, B.A.; Kosheleva, A.A.; Kuz'min, S.V.; Privalova, L.I.
Vestnik Rossiiskoi Akademii Meditsinskikh Nauk 9: 23-28
2002
ISSN/ISBN: 0869-6047 PMID: 12380281 Document Number: 542810
The paper provides evidence that there is a relationship of daily death rates to variations in the concentrations of total dust and some gaseous ambient pollutants. The great advantage of a procedure to analyze temporary variables is that it makes it possible to retrospectively use the available materials of routine monitoring of air pollution and to consider these effects (cases of death in particular). Along with the high informative value of environmental and epidemiological surveys (EES) based on the analysis of time series, this advantage allows one to recommend them for widely use within the sociohygienic monitoring system. At the same time the paper shows it necessary to control the quality of available data and to chose monitoring centers comparable in this regard. Inevitable missing data on the concentrations of different pollutants on days off and on some working days are of particular value under the actual conditions of monitoring of air pollution. The approach applied in this study to the choice of the most effective ways of filling of such gaps may be recommended. Nevertheless, incomplete data and the need for their artificial reproduction should be regarded as a source of uncertainty of specific results of EES of this type. Increments in mortality rates for a certain increase in the concentrations of pollutants may be used in the risk assessment projects when a dose-response relationship is analyzed. The larger number of EES based on the analysis of time series will be conducted in the regions of Russia, the more reliable the use of EES-grounded single risks will be at the regional and federal level.