The application of the grey dynamic model in disease prediction
Wang, A.Q.; Yu, M.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi 9(1): 49-52
1988
ISSN/ISBN: 0254-6450 PMID: 3383233 Document Number: 305943
Grey Dynamic Model was described in this paper and the death rate of malignant tumour was predicted by using this model. The data showed that the result was good for prediction. The average error of fitting and predicting were 1.8% and 2.8% of the actual mean respectively. The advantages of this model were: a few sample was needed: no need of typical probability distribution data: easy counting; and 4 good effect for prediction. So this model was a valuable tool, for disease surveillance.