Association between high air temperature and mortality in summer: A multi-city analysis in China
Luan, G.J.; Yin, P.; Wang, L.J.; You, J.L.; Zhou, M.G.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi 40(1): 59-63
2019
ISSN/ISBN: 0254-6450 PMID: 30669732 Document Number: 698834
目的： 探讨中国31个城市夏季高温变化与人群死亡之间的关联性。 方法： 收集中国31个城市2008年1月1日至2013年12月31日的每日死亡数据和气象数据。运用分布滞后非线性模型，控制长期趋势、"星期几效应"等的影响，分析夏季前期和后期高温变化与死亡的相关性。 结果： 夏季前期高温对死亡影响的RR值高于后期，夏季前期高温对死亡影响的RR值集中于1.08~2.14，夏季后期高温对死亡影响的RR值集中于1.03~1.67。夏季前期时，高温对死亡的影响主要集中在P(5)以下和P(50)以上，而夏季后期高温对死亡影响主要集中于P(95)以上。夏季前期高温对死亡的影响可以滞后6 d左右，而夏季后期高温对死亡的影响只滞后2 d左右。 结论： 夏季高温与居民死亡之间存在关联性，夏季前期高温对死亡的影响高于夏季后期，应采取有针对性的防护措施。.
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