Modern approach to prognostication of the acute hemorrhage recurrence from duodenal ulcer
Shepet'ko, I.M.; Iefremov, V.V.
Klinichna Khirurhiia 9: 9-12
2013
ISSN/ISBN: 0023-2130 PMID: 24501919 Document Number: 665539
There was 2223 of 2285 patients, treated in the Kyiv's municipal center of gastrointestinal hemorrhage in 1994-1996 yrs (the control group) and in 2004-2008 yrs (the main group) for an acute hemorrhage from duodenal ulcer. The integral prognostic index (IPI) was determined for the early recurrence risk (ERR) assessment. The point prognostication system, based on the step by step discriminant analysis, was transformed while its application. While in a control group of an acute hemorrhage early recurrence prognostication and its low risk (ERR was 5.6%) the IPI have had constituted 7-9 points, in the middle risk (ERR was 34%) the IPI have measured 10-16 points and in the conditions of a high risk (ERR have constituted 89.1%), the IPI was 17-22 points, vs in the main group in conditions of application of potent intravenous proton pump inhibitors and effective endoscopic hemostasis measures in a low risk group (the realized ERR was 1.2%) the IPI have measured 7-12 points, in middle ERR (realized ERR 7.15%) the IPI raised to 13-19 points and in a high ERR (realized ERR was 23.81%) 20-22 points.