Predicting poor ovarian response in IVF: use of repeat basal FSH measurement

Bancsi, László.F.J.M.M.; Broekmans, F.J.M.; Looman, C.W.N.; Habbema, J.Dik.F.; te Velde, E.R.

Journal of Reproductive Medicine 49(3): 187-194

2004


ISSN/ISBN: 0024-7758
PMID: 15098888
Document Number: 569428
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the additional value of a second basal follicle stimulating hormone (FSH) level, in a different cycle, in the prediction of poor response in in vitro fertilization (IVF) by a sin-le basal FSH measurement. STUDY DESIGN: In 120 patients, basal FSH was determined prospectively in 2 spontaneous cycles. The additional value of a second basal FSH measurement in the prediction of poor ovarian response in IVF by a single basal FSH measurement was studied. RESULTS: Due to chance variation, the predictive accuracy of a poor response of the first and second basal FSH measurement differed (ROCAUC .84 and .74, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, the higher of the first and second basal FSH levels provided the best predictive accuracy (ROCAUC .85). In terms of clinical relevance, however, a predictive model with the highest basal FSH level provided only slightly more correct predictions of poor and normal ovarian response than did models based solely on a single basal FSH measurement. CONCLUSION: Using basal FSH, a substantial number of patients will be misdiagnosed with regard to their ovarian response potential in IVF, even if repeat measurement is performed.

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