The Ugandan success story? Evidence and claims of HIV-1 prevention
Parkhurst, J.O.
Lancet 360(9326): 78-80
2002
ISSN/ISBN: 0140-6736 PMID: 12114061 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(02)09340-6Document Number: 242424
HIV/AIDS has reached pandemic proportions, and is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. In 2001, the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS set out several aims with respect to reducing the effect and spread of HIV/AIDS, and an expanded response in low-income and middle-income countries was initiated. Here we examine the potential effect of the expanded global response based on analyses of epidemiological data, of mathematical models of HIV-1 transmission, and a review of the impact of prevention interventions on risk behaviours. Analyses suggest that if the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new infections could be prevented by 2010.